Investing, Economics Mostly

Today’s marketplaces are hard because they keep changing. There is an 18% move around in oil at the end of August. You can find large goes over short intervals. There can be an uncertain outlook internationally. It will be challenging for Canadians. Global Growth is going to be low. People are extremely uncertain about China. China says they are growing at 7%. Some individuals think the shape is a lot lower.

Some people think that the growth in China is negative. He feels that a negative development is going low too. Canadians should be buying the US market as it is a much better market currently for Canadians. The markets have sold off over growth concerns internationally. The next phase is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate increasing. Russia’s market is a lifeless cat jump. Japan is printing money. Europe is an interesting spot to invest.

The problem with the world is people. There is strong development in labor in the 1980’s and 1990’s with women entering the workforce. Japan would be better off if it allows women in to the workforce. A couple of declining ladies in their workforce. The male participation rate is declining. The nagging problem is that if you pay people to doing nothing, they will do so.

The working age group inhabitants is declining. We are receiving older and productivity is down. He will not see tech assisting with productivity in the foreseeable future. We will have slower growth in the future. Below replacement level fertility rates internationally is the norm. The fertility rate is 1.7 in the G7 and 1.9 in developing countries.

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Canada is second to Australia in immigration. Immigrants are top scientist and designers. They speak English because lots of countries have education in English. Google and Facebook are opening offices in Canada because they cannot get the social people they want into the US. The millennials were born from 1980 to 2000 and are 15 to 30. They are the bright spot, but these sociable people feel entitled. They will be the second largest cohort in america at 80M. Millennials will be the biggest era in the Canadian labor force now.

They will be the Seinfeld Nation and are experiencing a big effect on the US overall economy. No mortgage is had by them, no car, no spouse no children. They spend additional money in restaurants than in food markets. The Chinese GDP is skewered towards investments. 20% of the investment is within roads and bridges.

47% is within infrastructure. But they have ghost cities and bridges to nowhere and all of this is being financed by debts. The commodity forecast is that it is very little of a brilliant cycle. US rigs are in drop and also crude is in decrease. Tech has allowed the united states to pull oil from the ground they have known about for a long period.

The US is still a huge consumer of essential oil at 22% of world’s oil production, so they will import oil still. Saudi Arabia was built on oil. The dropping price of oil slams on the breaks for US shale production. The world is coming into some balance in essential oil gradually.

Also, Iran’s essential oil is coming online. For energy shares, the most severe is most likely over. Oil reserves are declining worldwide, so we are in need of Canadian oil sands still. Score Cards: The best opportunities will have slow growth. Consumer discretionary will have good development going forward. Electricity utilities are okay however, not so in the foreseeable future now. Old and new tech is fine, like IBM Facebook and Netflix.

The millennials are on the telephone on a regular basis. Health treatment is an area of interest. US banks are cheap and Canadian banks are attractive. China is slowing, but the relevant question is how much. Material stocks should be avoided, but oil is ok. We have a very sluggish recovery. We are not more likely to have a tough economy or a bear market anytime soon. Markets are not cheap, but they either are not outrageously expensive.